US Open picks sleepers betting advice

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US Open picks sleepers betting advice

The 2019 U.S. Open is upon us, and while I wont be giving out any PGA DFS picks in this article, well be taking a first look at the course set of Pebble Beach Golf Links, as well as looking at a few trends from the last few U.S. Opens to help inform our betting picks.By now most golf fans should be fairly familiar with Pebble Beach, as it is one of the most iconic courses in the world. The Par-3 seventh hole and the Par-5 18th immediately come to mind as two of the most beautiful holes in all of golf. Pebble Beach also plays host to the annual ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am PGA Tour event, but I wouldnt worry too much about how the course is set up for that event. Pebble Beach will be a much more stern test for the U.S. Open after the USGA has gotten their hands on the courseMOREROTOQL: Logan Forsythe Jersey | The layout will be reduced to a Par 71 (instead of the usual Par 72), with the second hole being changed from an easy Par 5, to a 510-yard beast of a Par 4 that will likely play over a half-shot over par for the tournament.Pebble Beach will still play on the short end for a modern profe sional tournament at only 7,075 yards, but dont be fooled to think that short means easy. Early reports from Pebble suggest that the rough is absolutely brutal and that the fairways have been tightened in preparation for this event, so finding the fairways will be crucial for anyone looking to win. Pebble Beach has always been a course where players are able to go le s-than-driver off of the tee, and that should be no different this week given the brutal rough. Upon first glance, golfers will likely only be forced to take out driver on sixholes.Pebble Beach is infamous for how small its greens are, and they will be even tougher to hit this week as the summer winds will likely be blowing off the Pacific Ocean, causing havoc with players distance control on approach shots. This is Martin Perez Jersey going to be a week where virtually every player in the field is going to be forced to scramble for par on multiple occasions per round, as hitting every green in regulation is a near impo sible task given the small greens and tough conditions.Once on the greens, players will be faced with lightning fast poa annua greens that will roll 14-pluson the stimpmeter. While putting is nearly impo sible to predict on a week to week basis, we see year after year at the U.S. Open that the guys who win are the ones who are able to putt well on the slick surfaces inside of 10 feet, usually to save par.Last 5 Winners:2018: Brooks Koepka (Shinnecock Hills) (+3300)2017: Brooks Koepka (Erin Hills) (+4000)2016: Dustin Johnson (Oakmont CC) (+1400)2015: Jordan Spieth (Chambers Bay) (+800)2014: Martin Kaymer (Pinehurst #2) (+4000)The last five winners of the U.S. Open have been a mix of favorites (Johnson, Spieth) and mid-range golfers (Koepka x2, Kaymer) in terms of their pre-tournament betting odds. Pebble Beach is a course that doesnt give a ma sive advantage to the long hitters, so it wouldnt be surprising to see players with longer odds contend this week. After all, Graeme McDowell was +8000 when he won the U.S. Open the last time it was played here in 2010. Going back to '03, however, we have seen multiple golfers come from seemingly nowhere to win this event, including Lucas Glover in '09 (+25000), Angel Cabrera in '07 (+20000), Michael Campbell in '05 (+500000), and Ratief Goosen in '04 (+150000), which tells us that U.S.Opensetups bring more longshots into play.U.S. Open History at Pebble Beach2010: Graeme McDowell, winning score: E2000: Tiger Woods, winning score: -12 (note: 2nd place was +3)1992: Tom Kite, winning score: -31982: Tom Watson, winning score: -61972: Jack Nicklaus, winning score: +2The history of the U.S. Open at Pebble Beach shows that we can expect Bartolo Colon Jersey the winning score to likely be close to even par. The lone exception here is Tiger Woodss legendary performance at the 2000 U.S. Open where he blitzed the field by 15 strokes and posted -12. That Woods performance remains to this day one of the single greatest performances in golfing history, and I would be genuinely shockedif any player is able to flirt with double-digits under par for the week, putting scoring at an absolute premium.Before we get into the U.S.Openpicks, we always like to remind you that plenty of strategy goes into cashingwinning DFS lineups andwinning betting tickets. By now you should know the best place to start is and the .Our easy-to-usegives you a big advantage when you're putting together DFS lineups, and our tools provide a ma sive edge when you're making bets, regardle s of bankroll size.I'm always ready to help, too, so check me out on Twitter () Jeff Mathis Jersey for even more NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA daily fantasy content and gambling advice.Key Stats Driving AccuracyApproach 150 YardsStrokes Gained: Around the GreenPar 4 ScoringBogey AvoidanceUS Openbetting adviceOutright Bets to Consider *odds via Dustin Johnson 8/1We are 2-0 with betting favorites in Majors this season after hitting Tiger Woods at The Masters and Brooks Koepka at the PGA Championship. Ive had Johnson pegged as a U.S. Open bet at Pebble Beach for the last year, and I want all the shares of Johnson that I can get my hands on this week. DJ had a Sunday collapse at the U.S. Open here back in 2010, so this is a nice redemption narrative for him this week. He plays the Pro-Am event each year at Pebble Beach and has a great track record. His wedge play is among the best in the world when he is playing well, and he will be one of the few players in the field that sets up well for both the long Par 5s and 4s that this layout will offer up, as well as the le s-than-driver holes that require supreme accuracy off the tee.Jason Day 30/1Day has a fantastic track record at Pebble Beach during the Pro-Am event, and he should be an even better fit for this course given the tougher conditions. Day is a player that I always like when the setup calls for excellent scrambling, and he is one of the better players on the PGA Tour when playing the wind despite having a high ball flight. Day seems due for a win, and his 30/1 number provides one of the few value spots in that range.Matt Kuchar 50/1Ive already bet on Kuchar at The Masters and Jonathan Hernandez Jersey PGA Championship, and to be honest Ill probably also bet him at The Open Championship in addition to this week. I really dont understand his 50/1 number after he played great last week at the Canadian Open. Pebble Beach is a nice layout for an accuracy-based player like Kuchar who doesnt have the power off the tee to overpower a longer golf course. Kuchar is having by far the best season of his profe sional career, and it would be fitting for him to top it off with his first career Major.Patrick Reed 110/1Reed is a player that I love
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